Posted on October - 25 - 2009

Democratic Convention

Gentlemen, ladies, and not so genteel members of humanity (fopr whom Denver has a newly made jail awaiting you) it’s time for two weeks of man-made hype, division, anger, character assassination, and the worst that American politics can produce. The Democratic Convention is followed by the Republican convention wherein the worst of human consciousness will be on display.

Am I happy with either choice? No way!

I don’t have a horse in this race and only time will tell what I do come November. I see my choices as between a candidate who will kill babies (abortion) and one who kill older teenagers and adults (war). I see my choices as between on candidate that will raise taxes to support social programs and one that will keep taxes high to support a $12 billion dollar war habit. I see my chocies as between one candidate who seems to not like America as much as I and one who seems to love it far more (can you say idolizes) than I do.

By the way, both men do have good qualities. But both men are politicians!

The Democratic convention is now ready for prime time, but prime time what? Hillary is going to get her day in the sun and so will Bubba, but after the Clinton’s get the few moments of TV fame, it’s on to what wrong with the Bush-McCain ticket followed by a week of what’s wrong with the Obama-Biden ticket.

Is O’Reilly the only one looking out for the “folks”?

Posted on October - 25 - 2009

Enforcement of Punctuality in a Democratic Way in Public Places

Enforcing Punctuality in office -Democratic way or Autocratic way

Posted on October - 24 - 2009

Chavez : Elected Democratic Dictator?

He could get the constitution changed to make him an official dictator to years ago. So Hugo Chavez changed his strategy and decided to take his massive dictatorial program in pieces. The first piece would be to allow him to run for office eternally, or at least again in 2012 and so Sunday he got that corner stone in place. Now, on to the other dictatorial matters with the face of a democratic leader.

Posted on October - 23 - 2009

D-day Evasion. European Day Against the Death Penalty Controversy: Underlying Conflict and the Democratic Deficit

1. Introduction

Twenty six to one ? that was the result of voting over the establishment of a European Day against the Death Penalty during the September working meeting of EU justice ministers. Poland was the only opponent. Political conflict over the establishment of the Day is a more complex problem, than some commentators make the public believe. I argue that the actions of the controversial Kaczy?ski government should, instead of a mere rejection of Poland?s standpoint, drag our attention towards matters less symbolic than an officially established holiday. In my opinion the intergovernmental battle-lines in this case have little to do with the real conflicts dormant under the surface of the European public discourse.

The first is most obviously the debate on capital punishment as such. Against the idealist wishes of the heads of states, the prohibition of death penalty is hardly a value that all European hold dear. In a number of states DP supporters are a solid majority, in others ? a considerable minority. The second problem, put forth by the Poles, is the formulation of a general ?right to life?, which calls all other forms of peace-time termination (abortion, euthanasia) into question.

All these issues are in turn directly linked to the problem of EU?s democratic deficit. Abstracting from the normative aspects of this dispute, it is clear that governments, heads of states, Commissioners and MEPs are reluctant to engage in any meaningful wider debate on these problems. They seem to believe that whatever happens on the European level is still insulated from the public, which gives the policy makers a silent ?permissive consensus?. This might be true of norms regarding the colour schemes of police cars, but not necessarily the matters of life and death. The paper attempts to be neutral on the question of the death penalty, but has a normative side arguing for the need to introduce more deliberation in the Union.

The aim of this paper is to analyse that conflict ?as if it were? a regular policy issue in the EU. I want to describe the standpoints of two governments: the United Kingdom, as an advocate of the Day, and Poland, as the opposing side.

The EU however is a multi-level polity, therefore the intergovernmental clashes do not necessarily have to reflect the structure of interests on lower levels. I intend to provide coverage of the domestic interests regarding the question of the Day, and, more importantly, the DP as such, in these two states. I want to show that there are some common standpoints on the issue, cross-cutting the nation-state borders.

2. The European Day against the Death Penalty ? a Political Clash

The ?World Day against Death Penalty? is held on October 10. every year since 2003, as an initiative of the World Coalition Against the Death Penalty. The idea to establish a strictly European Day was clearly spoken out during the German Presidency, and taken up by the Portuguese government, who was to preside in the European Council in the second half of 2007, when the Day would be held. On behalf of the European Commission, Vice-President Franco Frattini, Responsible for Justice, Freedom and Security, was the main advocate of the Joint Declaration of the EP and the Council of Ministers, proposed by the EC on 19. June 2007.

Frattini said that: ?By creating a European Day against the death penalty we are showing our resolve and commitment to not stop fighting this practice until it is abolished worldwide?. In the words of Benita Ferrero-Waldner: ?We Europeans are the number one advocate against the death penalty and for its universal abolition?. The EC?s press release headline read: ?Tireless champion for the abolition of the death penalty throughout the world, the EU proposes a European day against the death penalty?. As I will try to show in the coming sections, the Europeans, understood as the citizens of the EU, are not unanimous advocates against capital punishment, nor has the EU been a ?tireless champion? to abolish it for long.

Member-state delegations were supposed to agree on the proposed draft on September 6th. The proposal however was blocked by the Polish delegation at the first meeting, the veto was already signaled before, and despite the attempts to persuade the Poles, made by the Commissionaires, other delegates and the MEPs, that was the end of the Draft.

As a justification of their standpoint, the spokesman of the Polish delegation Andrzej Duda, claimed Europe ought to promote a day “dedicated to the protection of all human life” instead. The claim was anchored in a traditional Christian discourse, where all forms of human-inspired termination are wrong. What was clear from the comments, especially made by socialist MEPs and the Portuguese delegation, this was just an excuse, as the real reasons for the Polish veto was Kaczy?ski?s explicit support for capital punishment. Commentators also noted that the League of Polish Families, Kaczy?ski?s coalition party, was planning to reintroduce DP for pedophile rapists. What is more, the critics linked Polish veto with the upcoming parliamentary elections in the country, where the tough play on European arena and defending Christian or alternatively pro-death-penalty values would give Kaczy?ski?s Law and Justice points.

3. The Three Interests and a Disinterest

From this debate we can already differentiate the three positions (interests) that can be found in the EU. First, supported by the 26 states officials, the EC, EP and Council of Europe, is based on the human right to life understood in the narrow sense. Capital punishment is seen as unlawful and unjustifiable barbarism, and ?Europe? is said to be the main prophet of its abolition. Secondly, there is the Christian, traditional view, calling for the protection of all life, from conception until natural death. Third is the conservative (in the American sense ) standpoint, opposing the abolition of DP. This form of punishment is seen as effective in deterring most violent crimes, and just. Abortion and euthanasia are not seen as similar to capital punishment (as in the former view), but rather as equal to murder, and in some extreme opinions should also be punished by death.

Apart from the three clear ?interests?, we need to mention the fourth logically possible standpoint ? favoring death penalty, as well as the liberalization of abortion and euthanasia. I argue this is quite a common standpoint. It arises however, not from deeply held values or from ideology, but rather from superficial reasoning. I therefore call it a ?disinterest?, as opposed to the more conscious and better informed ?interests?. The support for DP in this group derives from the very basic need for justice and security, and the arguments about its deterring role are appealing. Abortion and euthanasia on the other hand can be seen as private matters ? in a way similar to the first interest group. I will argue that this ?disinterest? is the main pool of support for the DP in Europe, yet it is often evaded by the European politicians.

In the official EU policy discourse, only the first view is present. It avoids reference to abortion and euthanasia, either by omitting it or by denying any logical link. What the commentators noticed, but chose not to elaborate on, is the electoral gain Law and Justice could achieve by opposing the Day, and thereby becoming the only actor on the European arena representing the second and third viewpoints. The commentators, apart from Terry Davies, Secretary General of the CE, were reluctant to state that such electoral gain is possible, simply because there are many Europeans favoring capital punishment or the right to life in a broader sense.

4. The Domestic Interest Structure on Capital Punishment

In this section I will first briefly try to illustrate the structure of interests regarding capital punishment in Europe with some statistical data. I will then move to the analysis of two cases, where I will more closely look at the organization of interests and their reflection on the political arena.

Contrary to what is proclaimed by the EU officials, ?abolition of death penalty? is not a very central ?European value?. The Eurobarometer does not pose the question of being for or against DP. The pan-European data is very limited. As for the European law, Council of Europe’s “European Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms”, imposes the abolition of death penalty. These documents are neither central for the old members, nor conditions for new member?s accession. The Copenhagen Criteria do not mention the necessity of DP abolition.

The public is at least divided on the matter. In Finland, according to the Gallup Polls, one third of the nation supported death penalty in 2006. In France the support was higher ? 42%. In the UK, support has dropped in the recent years from some 60% to a still very high figure of 49% in 2005. It is noticed that support is much higher in the new member-states, notably Poland (67% in 2006, 63% in 2007), Czech Republic (57% in 2005) or Romania (Eastern European average is around 60%). The need for justice and security causes instances of mass popular support for the reintroduction of DP ? as did the tragic events in Belgium in 1996. 62% of Europeans believe that offenders, especially youths, would commit less crime if the punishments were tougher. 95% of respondents say penalties for child abuse should be tougher. These can be treated as (very weak) proxies of the deterring role most harsh penalties have and of the support for DP respectively.

4.1 Poland

Poland may well be the EU member-state with strongest DP support. Most violent cases of murder after 1989 took place between 1995 and 1997. In those years the support for DP was highest ? even 75% in 1997. This support is, I would argue, mostly emotional, and fits the fourth standpoint I enumerated ? the ?disinterest?. This can be proven by the attitudes towards abortion, not fitting the ?Christian? or ?conservative? interest patterns. In 1997 65% of Poles agreed that women should have the right to terminate, in 2005 the figure fell to 57%. This however still means that at least 20% of respondents are both in favour of DP and abortion.

Despite such strong support for DP, the representation of interest on the political scene hardly matches their structure in the society. Since 2004 three right-wing parties have advocated for the reinstitution of capital punishment. Most radical voices are usually raised by the conservative and ultra-liberal Union of Real Politics, traditionally receiving 2-8% support. Their arguments are the deterring role of DP and the primacy of the right to life, they are rooted in individual liberty and absolute responsibility of the individual for its actions. Second advocate is the nationalist League of Polish Families , with 12 % support in 2005, and marginal support in 2007. The party is divided between the Christian and the conservative standpoints, mostly speaking of DP for paedophiles. The last party in favour of DP is Law and Justice, which saw a place for capital punishment in its projected harsher penal code. Together the advocates of DP can count on 30-40% of votes, hardly matching the real support on that matter.

The mainstream press? comments on the Day controversy were emphasising the feeling of shame as Poland is once again treated as a ?freak? or a ?black sheep? in the EU family, not engaging in a substantive debate on the DP. Right-wing press chose either to emphasise the ?Christian? explanation of the Polish veto, or the ?conservative? hard-headedness in a clash with the nonsensual, socialist Europe.

4.2 United Kingdom

As already mentioned, the public support for DP in Britain is considerable, and this can be felt in the public discourse, mostly in conservative/Tory sources. Even very some moderate commentators were reluctant to dismiss the Polish veto as ?fundamentalism?, choosing instead to support the appealing logic behind the ?pro life? explanations of the veto. In that sense, the position of the euro-sceptical Polish leadership was welcomed with some understanding by the large euro-sceptical groups of Britons. The majority however took Straw?s side, and used the pan-European discourse against DP and avoiding putting ?a larger context of the right to life? on the agenda.

The Labour Party is clearly falling into the first interest ?box?, after all, it was with Tony Blair in charge that Britain finally banned the DP under all circumstances. This policy line is continued by Gordon Brown. With the Conservative Party the case is more complex. David Cameron, describing himself as ?modern compassionate conservative? has quite moderate views, not favouring the DP. There are however more radical voices in the party, with some members explicitly voicing their support for capital punishment. The leaders of Ulster Unionist Party and the Democratic Unionist Party in the parliament of Northern Ireland also favour reintroducing of DP.

5. Conclusion: Taking a D-Tour for D-Day in The Council of Europe

Despite the Polish veto, the Day was established and celebrated on October 10th. In order to achieve that, the EU governments turned to the Council of Europe, where on 26.09 the project was acclaimed by 26 of 47 states ? a majority sufficient to make it binding for other members. This turn of events was naturally strongly opposed by the Polish Foreign Ministry, Fotyga called the decision a conspiracy and said Poland would treat it as non-existent. One month later however, early election swept Law and Justice from government, and the new coalition soon declared it would support the Day. The process was concluded during the JHA Council meeting on 7.12 where all 27 member states signed the proposal, meaning that 10.10.2008 will be an official European Day Against the Death Penalty in all of the EU.

Although we can argue the Union has chosen the right thing to do, it failed to address in any way the problem of considerable civic support for the DP. Europe is therefore a global advocate of a cause which is internally not seen as unanimously ?European?. What is more, after the former Polish government has been shamed for differing, and since the new one is quite reasonably compliant, there is now no voice of dissent, no representation of the three standpoints alternative to the EU mainstream on the European arena. This incompatibility of interests and European policy-making can be treated as some proof of the democratic deficit in the EU. Secretary Davies? attitude and the fact, that at least to some extent these three viewpoints are present in the EP, can hopefully result in a real debate on the DP and the right to life as Europe would like it to be defined. It would be interesting to see a real moral argument in the European family, one that could lead to the Day Against the Death Penalty being a truly European Day.

Kacper Szulecki is a student of international relations and sociology at the Free University of Amsterdam and the Warsaw University.

Posted on October - 22 - 2009

Does the Democratic Party Have Any Grownups?

Copyright (c) 2008 Mary Ann Boulette

Some grownups in the Democratic Party need to step forwad and save Clinton and Obama from themselves and before they destroy the Democratic party.

The bickering between the two campaigns is going to cause our party to miss the best opportunity in years to win back the White House. I am a life long Democrat and I am ready to jump ship. Do these two candidates realize what is happening? Do they realize that they are clearing the road for a McCann victory? Clinton has no way to win the nomination and seems to be determined to take Obama down with her.

What is more important Senator Clinton ‘ you winning the White House or your party winning? Maybe our country is really not ready for a woman to occupy the Oval Office. Maybe America isn’t the leader of the free world, for it seems we are not a country in the lead on the gender bias issue. And are we still a country that is racially bias also? We are a country in very bad shape at this time! We have learned nothing except to hide our biases from each other.

And Senator Obama ‘ you are just as bad! Which is more important to you ‘ winning the White House or your party winning the White House? You are also a very young man ‘ you have many years left in which to run for higher office. Why does it have to be now, at this time, against this woman? Are you just as stubborn as Senator Clinton ‘ are both of you so sure that this is the time for you to run? I can understand Senator Clinton because she and I are the same age and I couldn’t keep up with her campaign now much less in another 4 or 8 years. But there is always time for you.

I could understand if both of you had policies that were dramatically different but there is very little difference between any of your policies. So I don’t understand why one of you can’t just stop and let the other one go ahead now.

I really thought our country was better than this. We must appear riduculous to other countries. We want to be the leader of the free world and yet many of our values are so very backwards. It started with our arrogant foreign policy and now our domestic policy and economy are in the toilet. Do we have any real leaders left? If there is, would you please step forward and save our party?

I want all of this to end ‘ except I will really have to work to write my articles instead of just watching the news for 30 minutes.

Mary Ann Boulette Austin, Texas
http://maboulette.blogtoolkit.com/

Posted on October - 21 - 2009

Democratic Party Presidential Nomination Contest: a Review of the Delegate and Popular Vote Counts

After the Pennsylvania vote, it is time to update the estimated number of delegates (total of pledged delegates i.e., delegates won through elections — primaries and caucuses, and super-delegates i.e. party officials and activists) and popular vote acquired by Senators Clinton and Obama in the Democratic party presidential nominating contest.

These — delegates and populate votes — counts do not include the outcomes of the primaries held in Michigan and Florida. Both Michigan and Florida violated the explicit rules set by the Democratic Party National Committee (DNC) that no state — other than Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina — was to hold its party presidential nomination primary or caucus before so-called Tuesday when any state could have set its elections. (Super Tuesday was semi-national primary election day. The four states — Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada (large Hispanic population) and South Carolina (large African-American population) — together are considered representative of the American electorate and small enough for campaign without the need for extra-ordinary amount of resources.)

As a result of their defiance of the DNC’s ruling, DNC mandated that any election would be considered null and void and asked all the presidential candidates (which included Clinton and Obama but it also included Senators Biden and Dodd, and John Edwards) not to campaign in those two states. All the candidates — including Clinton and Obama — consented to this. There was absolutely no campaigning. Obama and Edwards even removed their names from the ballot in Michigan (for some reason, Clinton did not.) However, Obama and Edwards (and Clinton) could not remove their names from the Florida ballot — Florida party would not allow that.

Senator Clinton now argues that the Michigan and Florida votes should be counted but Obama says no — so far, the Democratic Party is holding on to its rules and punishment of Michigan and Florida.

If Michigan and Florida were excluded, the the number of delegates required to win the Democratic Party’s nomination is 2024. (If Michigan and Florida were included, then the majority number would be approximately 2180.)

The following estimates of delegates vary some because the estimates from the caucus results and the the commitments of super-delegates are just estimates with opportunity for slightly different interpretations and counts.

Delegate Counts without Florida and Michigan

NBC: Obama 1,727, Clinton 1,594

ABC: Obama 1,721, Clinton 1,586

CNN:Obama 1,719, Clinton 1,586

CBS:Obama 1,715, Clinton 1,585

AP: Obama 1,714, Clinton 1,589

So Obama leads by about 130 delegates.

Delegate counts with Florida and Michigan (approximation)

Obama 1960-65, Clinton 1925-1930

If Florida and Michigan primaries were honored as they were conducted with no adjustments, Obama would only lead by about 30-35 delegates (Clinton would lead by about 95-100 delegates when the approximately 380 Michigan and Florida delegates are counted, i.e. the approximate delegate counts would be about 1960 for Obama and about 1925-30 for Clinton.)

And now to the estimates of popular votes under various scenarios.

Popular Vote Total without MI and FL and without caucus popular votes

Obama 14,417,134(49.2%), Clinton 13,916,781(47.5%), Obama +500,353(+1.7%)

Estimate without MI and FL but with w/IA, NV, ME, WA caucus popular vote

Obama 14,751,218(49.3%), Clinton 14,140,643(47.2%), Obama +610,575(+2.1%)

Popular Vote (w/FL) but no caucus popular votes

Obama 14,993,348(48.3%), Clinton 14,787,767(47.6%), Obama +205,581(+0.7%)

Estimate with FL and w/IA, NV, ME, WA caucus popular votes

Obama 15,327,432(48.4%), Clinton 15,011,629(47.4%), Obama +315,803(+1.0%)

And now we provide numbers from Michigan primary too. But this is seriously problematic because Clinton is given about 328,000 votes (because her name was on the ballot) and Obama is given zero (because the rest of votes went to “uncommitted” as Obama’s name was not even on the ballot.)

Popular Vote (w/FL & MI) but no caucus popular votes

Obama 14,993,348(47.4%), Clinton 15,116,076(47.8%), Clinton +122,728(+0.4%)

Estimate with FL and MI, and w/IA, NV, ME, WA , and caucus popular votes

Obama 15,327,432(47.5%), Clinton 15,339,938(47.5%), Clinton +12,506 (+0.04%)

In summary, even with the disputed Florida popular votes included Obama leads Clinton. However, only when Michigan is included (where Obama is given zero votes) Clinton leads Obama narrowly.

Posted on October - 18 - 2009

Democratic Divide

In case you’ve been traveling abroad for the past six months or working underground in some DUMP that you can’t talk about, the Democrats have a problem. The party is divided. Greatly! And the democratic divide seems to be getting wider by the week. One of the potential solutions really isn’t, at least not from my perspective and here’s why.

Al Gore?

Some people have recently trottted out the possibility of Al Gore or John Edwards stepping in as a compromise nominee to end the Obama-Clinton struggle. It’s all over for both of these men- at least as far as politics goes. Gore simply isn’t really believable any more with his global warming rants, and Edwards is really a Double A player at best.

And who’s going to settle the Florida-Michigan mess?

According to a recent Rasmussen Reports, when they asked Democratic Primary Voters about a three-way race including Gore, the former Vice President attracted less support than both Obama and Clinton. The national telephone survey of 423 Likely Democratic Primary Voters shows Obama attracting 42% support while Clinton earns 26% and Gore is the top choice for 23%. More specifically…..

>Among White Male voters, Obama leads Gore 40% to 33% while Clinton trails with just 18% support.

>Among White Women, it?s Clinton 37%, Obama 30%, and Gore 25%.

>Among African-American voters, it?s Obama at 70%, Clinton with 14%, and Gore barely registering at 5%.

Nix the Gore idea! Nix the Dream ticket idea too!

In fact, just let the two big guns duke it out. One of them is going to win even if they win ugly! As Hillary has said (and Obama agreed), let the remaining ten primary voters get their say and then let’s total things up come June 4th and declare a winner.

What the party really does need is an August decision to fix the democratic divide.

ernie@lrchouston.com

Posted on October - 16 - 2009

The Democratic Convention

People are starting to fret opening. Will the Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton slug fest eventually wind up costing the Democrats the 2008 election? Will they steal the defeat from the jaws of victory? Is there an answer that will satisfy everyone and not wind up as a disaster at this summers Democratic National Convention? Maybe, and maybe not!

On August 25-28, the 2008 Democratic National Convention will deliver a sizeable impact on the City and County of Denver and the seven counties that encompass the greater metro area. But just what will that impact be?

Former New York Governor Mario Cuomo said the presidential race between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama could be ruinous for the Democratic Party if the contest isn’t resolved before the August nominating convention. Cuomo, a Democrat, said the party may be able to avoid a damaging convention fight if Clinton and Obama teamed up on a party ticket, or if the media forced the candidates before then to substantively address big policy issues facing the nation, such as the economy and the war in Iraq.

Read my lips. The dream ticket is NOT going to happen! Can someone answer the red phone please.

And now some donors (in Florida) are wanting their money back as Democrats in Michigan and Florida struggled Friday to resolve the impasse over their disputed January primaries, coming up with a plan to hold a June primary in Michigan while remaining deadlocked in Florida. Is there a compromise, a solution here? The Democratic dilemma only grows.

What happens if one person wins the polular vote (Hillary) and another wins the delegate vote (Obama)? Nancy Pelosi had the answer. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi says it would be damaging to the Democratic party for its leaders to buck the will of national convention delegates picked in primaries and caucuses, a declaration that gives a boost to Sen. Barack Obama. The Hillary Clinton campaign didn’t want to hear that!

Ah but here we are at the mid point of March and it’s looking more and more difficult.

ernie@lrchouston.com

Posted on October - 15 - 2009

Democratic Convention Deadlock?

Please someone win the Democratic presidential nomination! Terry McAuliffe totally changed the priamry scenario for the Democrats, even to the point of denying Michigan and Florida, so that Hillary, his queen be, could have it all wrapped up on Super Tuesday. Now what Terry? What a mess you’ve created, or is it Obama’s fault?

No one know for sure just who has how many delegates because the Democratic party has the most complex and convoluted format imaginable. But, what is for sure is that Obama holds a narrow lead: anywhere from 15 to 125 delegates depending upon which way the wind is blowing for all those super delegates: who change their mind at will. The Democrats are inching closer to smelling victory in November: however, a brokered convetion this summer could kill all of that!

So,former Vice President Al Gore and a number of other senior Democrats plan to remain neutral for now in the presidential race in part to keep open the option to broker a peaceful resolution to what they fear could be a bitterly divided convention.

Democratic Party officials said that in the past week Gore and other leading Democrats had held private talks as worry mounted that the close race between Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton could be decided by a group of 795 party insiders known as superdelegates. The signs that party elders are weighing whether and how to intervene reflects the extraordinary nature of the contest now and the concern among some Democrats that they not risk an internal battle that could harm the party in the general election.

The issues party leaders are grappling with include how to avoid the perception of a back-room deal that thwarts the will of millions of voters who have cast ballots in primaries and caucuses. That perception could cripple the eventual Democratic nominee?s chances of winning the presidency in November, they said.

A number of senior Democrats, including Speaker Nancy Pelosi and three candidates who have dropped out of the 2008 race, former Senator John Edwards and Senators Christopher J. Dodd and Joseph R. Biden Jr., have spoken with Mr. Gore in recent days. None have endorsed a candidate, although Ms. Pelosi made comments on Friday that were widely seen as supportive of Mr. Obama when it came to the process the party should use to make its choice of candidate.

?It would be a problem for the party if the verdict would be something different than the public has decided,? Ms. Pelosi said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. Ms. Pelosi said she intended to remain neutral, though some of her closest friends and allies in the House are publicly supporting Mr. Obama. She said the nomination should not be decided by delegates from Florida and Michigan.

Right now the best bet is that Obama wins the Wisconsin primary Tuesday, upsets Hillary in two weeks in Texas and Ohio, and the thoughts of a brokered convention doesn’t have to be a side circus. We’ll know in a little over two weeks won’t we.

ernie@lrchouston.com

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